However, if the war and the effective closure of the Strait stretch beyond the market’s four-week expectation, the economic consequences could become dire. If regional storage facilities run out of space and production is forced to shut down, the market will only be able to rebalance through forced “demand destruction”. “To generate substantial demand destruction, prices may have to rise into triple digit territory,” Struyven warned, adding that the length of the disruption is the single most important variable in the market right now. Every sustained 10% increase in crude oil prices raises headline inflation by about 0.3% and reduces disposable income by the same margin.
这一点在项目后期尤其关键。当研究推进到最深处、GLM 4.7 开始不停胡说的时候，我开了一个全新的对话窗口，把问题树的当前状态贴进去，挑出最重要的那个子问题，让 GLM 研究清单。原因很简单：它拿到的是一个干净的、经过抽象的问题，而不是被几天噪声污染过的上下文。
，这一点在Line官方版本下载中也有详细论述
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It seems likely that the policy positions that Anthropic took early on were related to these incentives, the way Sam Altman's congressional testimony, where he's asking legislators to regulate them, might've been caused by the incentives related to an unfriendly board that cares about safety (and now that the OpenAI board's power is gone, he holds positions of a completely different person.)
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